
From the desk of Nick Nicolaas #32
Date: October 27, 2004
Subject: “WAKE UP AMERICA”
the US$
is Toast!
Dear
Friends:
The
January 1, 2005 turnaround date which I mentioned to you in my previous
missives is just around the corner but there is still time, although not
much, to get your house in order. Get positioned now!
Preamble:
“We
are getting close to the URGENCY by the public world-wide to buy gold and
silver but this URGENCY will not start until 1) the Yen rises against the US$
forcefully, and 2) gold in Euros goes past E350.00; and 3) gold in US Dollars
breaks thru US$500” !
-
From my previous letter #31 “why are the Japanese Holding up the American
Economy” it is clear why the Japanese are buying US Treasuries i.e. with
Japanese savings, for which Government pays next to nothing, and then buying
US Treasuries at a higher interest rate and pocketing that differential. But now the US$ is cratering and because of
that change in exchange rate the Japanese are pocketing less and less as the
US$ craters. The result will be
Japanese Treasury buying will dry up speeding the downfall of the US$ and
strengthening the Yen.
-
During the past years the rise of gold for Europeans has been a yawn i.e.
0nly 1.5% increase in gold in Euros year to date vs
gold in US$ 10.5% increase year to date.
So you can see gold has been a good investment during the year in the US but for
Europeans it has been a bad place to park their money. However, when gold breaks 350.00 in Euros
then that will be the URGENCY signal for the Europeans to get into the act
and believe this: “Europeans know the value of gold better than anybody else
in the world. They know that paper
money is just that “PAPER”. They
experienced buying one loaf of bread with a case full of that paper money.
-
The real URGENCY in North America will arrive
when gold breaks US$500 and then all H… will break loose. In the interim look for gold to break
US$430 (we are close to that now) and then it will have a nice rally from
there).
Now this is important: the US$ is history and now THERE IS NOTHING THE
FEDS CAN DO TO STOP THE SLIDE TO BELOW 70 ON THE US$ INDEX (today we had a
low of 84.79 and thus it has broken several pips below the February 17th low
of 84.92 and therefore “we are going to the next lower level”).
What does this mean to you: It means
that inflation will be driven by a lower dollar (lower purchasing power)
chasing higher priced goods (by the way, make no mistake about it, there is
inflation and even imported cheap goods will become more expensive. In China workers are now striking
for wages of 30% higher or more – still cheap labor but higher wages
nevertheless).
A
lower US$ for example brings on inflation by having to pay more US dollars
for even higher priced goods (many of Hong Kong's fishermen are no longer
going out to sea because the cost of the fuel to run their boats is now above
the price of the prospective catch. This fuel price
escalation in turn is also happening with wheat for example – farm equipment
requires a lot of fuel. Thus the
supply side will be drying up as well).
As an interesting aside, the day before yesterday
I met with a commodities broker in Chicago
who also happens to be a good friend of Bill Murphy from GATA and www.lemetropolecafe.com . I met with him to give him an update on my
favorite silver explorer, Tumi Resources (TSXv – TM; OTCBB – TUMIF and
Frankfurt – TUY in which this broker is a shareholder) and to tell him about
the new gold explorer in which I have a position, Mawson Resources, and when
that stock will be called for trading on the Vancouver Venture Exchange (TSXv
– MAW - trading will start at the open on Friday October 29, 2004).
We both agreed that stocks such as Tumi and Mawson
will do very well indeed in this metals bull run and with regard the US$ he
said:
“From everything I see the US$ is going
deep-south. As you know I used to be a
trader in the pits and I have a lot of friends in the other building on the
trading floor who I speak with on an ongoing basis and they are still looking
at the US$ on the basis that it is on a fixed exchange rate”.
So you see even the traders in the financial
heartland can’t see the forest for the trees, they have their heads firmly
planted in the sand. Even they have
not yet come to the realization that the time of the mighty Uncle Sam$
supremacy is over.
So
again I say “WAKE UP AMERICA” the US$ is toast!
By
reading this and my previous missives I am sure that YOU ARE FULLY AWAKE
ALREADY and have acted accordingly. If
you have not acted as yet then make sure to ACT now … and BE A WINNER. Get into the commodities including the
metals and especially your favorite gold and silver stocks and don’t be shy
about giving your friends a wake-up call (the general public is not aware
that their purchasing power is eroding in waterfall proportions). In the year to come anyone you wake up now
will thank you for it.
To
own some physical gold, perhaps you should open an account with James Turk at
www.goldmoney.com where you can trade
in gold grams (important: the gold is stored in the UK and not in the USA –
just in case the US gets funny ideas about confiscation again).
Last
Saturday, in Chicago,
James Turk told me that, on urging by myself and others, you will be,
starting in the 2nd Quarter of 2005, able to buy silver on his
site as well although you will not be able to trade it in grams as you can in
gold since there are some difficulties in doing that.
This just in: Bema Gold and Eldorado
Gold Corp raised $167.5 million dollars yesterday in separate deals on the
capital markets and as Jim Mustard, stock analyst at Haywood Securities says
“It show you the appetite when gold pops its head up to US$430 an
ounce”.
Yes,
my friends US$430 is the magic number to break and the smart money, as noted
in the above paragraph, already knows this is imminent (today gold, although
down US$1.50 for the day at the close, traded as high as US$429.30).
By
the way silver was at US$7.43 during the day but was down US$0.13 at the
close as well. All I can say is “what
a buying opportunity”. All in all “the
trend is your friend” and the trend is up.
The best thing I can say “just be positioned for the long term”.
Regards,
Nick L. Nicolaas
nicolaas@attglobal.net
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