LOOKING OVER THE HORIZON

“What Will the Future Bring??”

and

Report on Martin Armstrong ‘World Economic Conference’ in Philadelphia December 3 & 4, 2011

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The ‘Economic Confidence Model’

Dear Friends:

“PANIC BUYING FRENZY AHEAD

Watch the S&P 200 Day Moving Average (200DMA)

Market Turnaround and ‘Best Timing’ to buy?

For a quick answer to when to buy, if the S&P breaks plus 1,264 (its 200DMA) then we may have a double whammy buying panic before year end and you should then already be positioned.

Reason for double whammy buying panic:

-        Capital movements from Europe into the USA; plus

-        Worldwide Fund Managers who have had a disastrous 3rd quarter frantically buying before year-end to make the end of the Quarter and Yearend so that their Fund can look good and to ensure their Yearend bonuses.”

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1) The 200 DMA in the S&P stands at 1,263.32 and Fridays close at 1,255.19 was not too far away from that.  The bottoming process since the 1,125 August 200DMA has been a long and painful wait.  The S&P now has tried three (3) times to break decisively thorough its 200 DMA and it seems reasonable to expect that between capital movements from Europe into the USA and hence the S&P as well as the DOW will benefit from these capital movements and it will break through on its 4^th try.  Please note that the capital movements out of Europe are already going into US Treasuries today:

“BOND REPORT, Dec. 12, 2011, 10:55 a.m. EST - Treasuries gain on EU worries before auction.  Government selling $32 billion in 3-year notes during the session”;

2) Fund Managers will start getting into the market.  I know that there are only a few weeks left until the end of the year but I would be totally surprised if those Fund Managers would be silent for the rest of the month and just lick their wounds.  I am betting that they will come into the market and I expect it will be when the S&P breaks decisively through its 200DMA.

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My projections into the future are based on reading and researching the work of many other luminaries i.e. analysts with clarity of thought.  I have followed Martin Armstrong (Marty) since 1987 and prior to the October 19, 1987 market crash.

When I first was made aware of Marty by a friend, I had looked at his ‘Economic Confidence Model’ (ECM) and its 8.6 Year Business Cycle with skepticism (Note: ECM was copyrighted on December 15, 1979).  However when the market crash in 1987 came right on Marty’s October 19, 1987 Turnaround Date (1987.8) I realized that this ECM might very well be the real thing.

Over the years I have forecasted the markets based on Marty’s ECM. The ECM Turnaround Dates have been right on the money such as: the peak in the Nikkei; the low in the Dow; the low in gold; the breakdown in the US$ Index; and so on. Yes, I have become a believer in these 8.6 year Cycles.

When Marty was incarcerated (a travesty of American justice or non-justice if you will), I had to try and interpret what these Turnaround dates meant without his help.  By looking at what was ‘over the horizon’ rather than listening to all the misinformation by “the talking heads” all around us, I was able to act in a manner that has over the years been very beneficial to my and my family’s financial health.  In addition, I was able to warn you, my reader friends, well in advance about those Turnaround dates.

 The next Turnaround Dates are: 2013.6 - 2014.675 - 2015.75.

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The World Economic Conference’ in Philadelphia December 3 & 4, 2011

I travelled to Philadelphia to attend Marty’s ‘World Economic Conference’ on December 3 & 4, 2011.  I paid US$2,500 to attend which was an insignificant amount of money to pay to a man who was consulted by many world leaders including Margaret Thatcher, one of my all-time favorites and a real ‘Statesman’.  A ‘Stateswoman’ if you want to be politically correct, a woman with gumption.  In the 1990’s it was rumored that Marty’s consultation fee was US$10,000 per hour.

For two days Marty spoke to the sold out audience.  It was a total one-man-show.  The information that he provided to us in the audience and the answers to our questions were mind boggling.

END

On the weekend I tried for several hours to go over my notes so that I could summarize the Conference for you but, I decided that I needed my time to spend on my family instead.

Instead of my Conference summary, and If you are seriously interested in your own financial future, then I strongly suggest you go to the unofficial Martin Armstrong site and read Marty’s essays: http://www.martinarmstrong.org/economic_projections.htm#unofficial.

If you do start with his latest essay dated December 11, 2011 then you must consider that when Marty writes about this particular scary issue, he analyzes and writes about it as a qualified expert.  He is qualified because he spent 7 years in jail for contempt of court (a travesty of justice) fighting the same issues and fundamental questions about freedom and constitutional rights and in the process of fighting his own case, he became an expert on US constitutional law.

Marty’s computer models are legendary and after having been released from jail he restarted this powerful computer tool.  The computer that generates the Trading Models is still being tested for accuracy but, I already have benefitted from the recent data generated by it in the past months.  The computer generated data will be, as it was before, available on a subscription basis which I highly recommend you take for those markets that you are interested to trade in.  Once the computer has been fully tested, you will be able to subscribe on a daily, monthly quarterly or yearly basis.

To get an idea as to how you will be receive the data go to page 22 of Marty’s essay dated November 5, 2011, print it out and study it carefully: http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/Financial%20Armageddon%2011-04-2011.pdf

You can subscribe for updates at this official site: http://armstrongeconomics.com/.

Marty’s development of this model is provided in his Biography at: http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/Martin%20Armstrong%20Biography%20May%202011.pdf

Happy trading my friends!

From Vancouver best regards,

Nick L. Nicolaas